Will Gabba’s Rain Hinder India’s Path to the WTC Final? What Happens if the Match Ends in a Draw?

Australia made a strong comeback in the second day-night Test in Adelaide, defeating India by 10 wickets to level the series.

Rohit Sharma, Travis Head

The third match of the five-match Border-Gavaskar Test series between India and Australia is set to take place at the Gabba. Both teams are aiming to take the lead in the series by winning this crucial match. India secured a massive 295-run victory in the first Test at Perth, gaining a 1-0 lead in the series. However, Australia made a strong comeback in the second day-night Test in Adelaide, defeating India by 10 wickets to level the series. With the series tied at 1-1, both teams are focused on gaining an edge in the third Test. However, rain could potentially spoil their plans.

Yes, the third India vs Australia Test, scheduled to begin on December 14, is under threat from rain, with showers predicted for all five days of the match.

IND vs AUS Brisbane Weather Report

According to the weather forecast, there is an 88% chance of rain on the first day of the match, while the second and fourth days have over a 40% likelihood of showers. The third and fifth days are expected to have improved conditions, with around a 20% chance of rain, which is unlikely to disrupt play significantly.

Fans are now wondering how a rain-affected draw in the Gabba Test would impact India’s chances of reaching the WTC Final. Let’s take a closer look at the scenario.

Also Read- How Team India Can Qualify for the WTC 2025 Final: Know These 4 Scenarios

India’s WTC Final Equation

India currently stands third on the WTC Points Table with 57.29% points. South Africa and Australia are ahead with 63.33% and 60.71% points, respectively. Even if the third Test at Gabba ends in a draw, India can still qualify for the WTC Final.

  • If India wins the next two matches after a draw in the Gabba Test, sealing the series 3-1, they will directly secure their spot in the WTC Final.
  • If India wins one and loses one of the remaining two matches after a draw, the series will end at 2-2. In this case, India’s qualification will depend on the results of the Sri Lanka vs Australia series. India will hope Sri Lanka wins that series 1-0 or 2-0 to boost their chances.